URL: http://www.foodrisk.umd.edu/exclusives/models/AU_listeria.cfm
Australian Risk Assessment model for Listeria monocytogenes in ready-to-eat meats
Tom Ross1, Sven Rasmussena1, John Sumner1, Aamir Fazil2 and Greg Paoli3, John Sumner1
1 Tasmanian Institute of Agricultural Research, School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania
2 Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, Ontario, Canada
3 Decisionalysis Risk Consultants, Inc., Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
The present risk assessment was created as part of a study to assess the public health risk due to Listeria monocytogenes in Australian made processed meat products, more specifically lunch meats, pâtés/liverwursts and cooked sausages. The model predicts the concentrations of L. monocytogenes on products at the time of consumption using industry and other survey data augmented by predictive microbiology models. The model performs calculations in seven stages: 1. Storage at the processing plant; 2. Transport: Processor to Retail Distribution Centre; 3. Storage at Retail Distribution Centre; 4. Retail Display; 5. Transport: Retail – Consumer. 6. Storage by Consumer (Package unopened) and; 7. Consumer by Consumer after Package opened.
The stochastic model was developed using @Risk. To view the complete model you must have the @Risk software installed in your computer. For a free trial or to purchase this program go to http://www.palisade.com/risk/.
@Risk Version [Excel, 107 KB]
If you do not have @Risk installed in your computer you can still view the model; however you will not be able to see the @Risk functions used by the model.
Model View (swap version) [Excel, 117 KB]
References:
Report [PDF, 89 KB]
Quantitative risk assessment of Listeria monocytogenes in ready-to-eat meats in Australia
Int J Food Microbiol. 2009, v. 131, Issue 2-3, page 128-37
